Celebrating 20 years of NIC MAP

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Twenty years of data in a competitive senior housing market

Two decades helping investors, developers, lenders, operators, researchers, and the federal government understand a market that more older Americans depend on every year.

markets covered

communities tracked

units of inventory

Built to serve the people who finance senior housing

NIC MAP was launched in 2004 by the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care, a non-profit created to support the investors and lenders who finance the sector. In 2006 we published our first consistent metro-level metrics; today the platform covers 214 markets nationwide.


Two decades later, NIC MAP data supports how investors, lenders, and developers plan and invest in senior housing, and how researchers and public agencies study and oversee it.

The federal government doesn’t just use NIC MAP — it helps underwrite American senior housing with it

U.S. map with states shaded by HUD FHA Section 232 senior-housing loan volume, representing roughly $40 billion insured across 3,970+ communities and 477,000 units. Source: HUD FHA insured-portfolio data.

NIC MAP’s largest customer is the U.S. federal government. The Department of Housing and Urban Development, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac have relied on NIC MAP data for nearly two decades, and it is built into how they underwrite the sector. Freddie Mac’s own seniors-housing underwriting guidance relies on NIC MAP submarket data. HUD procures the subscription through a public solicitation to run the FHA insurance programs that help finance senior housing nationwide.

“This data access is needed to meet vital components of HUD’s Strategic Plan… data are used for modeling and predicting FHA loan performance and for computing impacts of the FHA insurance programs and the Federal budget.”

— U.S. Dept. of Housing & Urban Development, Statement of Work, NIC-MAP Data Service (Notice APP-H-2025-051). SAM.gov · Statement of Work

Total HUD exposure to senior housing & care
(Section 232)

$40B

insured and outstanding

3,970+

senior-care communities

477K

units financed

HUD’s FHA insures roughly $40B of Section 232 mortgages on senior housing & care nationwide; states shaded by loan volume — hover for detail. Source: HUD FHA insured-portfolio data.

HUD’s Office of Risk Management describes the NIC MAP subscription as a principal source of economic and mapping data for monitoring its FHA healthcare portfolio, under a contract that runs through 2030.

“An independent, respected, and reliable source… the principal source of national and regional economic time series for the statutory mandate to protect the General Insurance / Special Risk Insurance funds.”

— HUD Office of Risk Management & Regulatory Affairs, on its NIC MAP subscription

“[Used for] evaluating the condition of the existing portfolio, anticipating potential problem locations, reviewing underwriting standards in specific regions, and alerting Executive FHA Management of [potential] losses.”

— HUD Statement of Work, NIC-MAP Data Service (Notice APP-H-2025-051). SAM.gov

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac publish their own senior housing research built on this market.

Orange Arrow Performance of the Seniors Housing Market (Freddie Mac)

Orange Arrow Seniors Housing financing (Fannie Mae)

TWENTY YEARS OF IMPACT

What twenty years of data reveal about this market

Measure a market for twenty years and patterns become undeniable. Two stand out in senior housing: it is broadly competitive, and it is growing to meet a historic wave of demand.

One of the most competitive markets in real estate

Senior housing is one of the most fragmented sectors in commercial real estate. Families choosing a community typically have many options run by many different companies, and the operators who serve the country are overwhelmingly small, local organizations, alongside familiar national names.

Twenty years of building — and a bigger job still ahead

Chart of cumulative senior housing units delivered, reaching more than 1.7 million units nationwide today, with over 630,000 new units built across NIC MAP markets since 2006.

Over two decades, the industry has built an extraordinary amount of senior housing. Today it totals more than 1.7 million units nationwide, and across NIC MAP’s markets, developers have delivered more than 630,000 new units since 2006. NIC MAP is a widely used source for sizing, siting, and financing new development.

And the need is only growing. As the 85-and-older population accelerates, demand is outpacing new construction. The country needs an estimated $275 billion of additional senior housing by 2030 and more than $1 trillion by the early 2040’s just to keep pace.

units of senior housing
nationwide today

of new senior housing
needed by 2030

of new senior housing
needed by early 2040’s

A generational need is arriving

Line chart of U.S. population aged 80 and older, projected to more than double from nearly 15 million in 2025 to over 30 million by 2050. Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

The first baby boomers turned 80 in 2025, the beginning of the largest and fastest expansion of the older-adult population in the nation’s history.

According to U.S. Census Bureau projections, the population aged 80 and older will more than double over the next 25 years, from nearly 15 million today to more than 30 million by 2050. Meeting that need takes capital, new construction, and skilled operators in thousands of local communities, and reliable information about where the need is greatest.

For two decades, investors, lenders, developers, researchers, and public agencies have used NIC MAP data to plan, invest, and serve older Americans well. Understanding this market has never mattered more.

Built for everyone who makes senior housing work

The organizations that rely on NIC MAP span the sector — investors, lenders, developers, researchers, and public agencies — and everyone is served the same way: the same data, on the same terms. NIC MAP lowers the cost of understanding the sector.

InvestorsWhere capital is flowing and where it’s needed

Market sizing, segmentation, and demographic context to allocate capital across geographies and care segments.

LendersUnderwriting confidence for a complex sector

Metrics that support sizing and underwriting, the same data federal lending partners rely on.

DevelopersWhere — and what — to build

Feasibility and supply-pipeline data to find underserved markets and size new communities.

OperatorsWhere to invest and grow

Demand and demographic trends that inform where to expand, reinvest, and add new communities.

Vendors & HealthcareUnderstanding where the sector is headed

Market and demographic context for partners serving the industry and its residents.

Researchers & GovernmentAn open, common evidence base

The same access, on the same terms, for academic and public-sector analysis of the sector.

Two decades of independent research built on our data

Scholars from across the globe have used this data to study senior housing economics in peer-reviewed work, and public agencies have drawn on it for policy analysis.

Interest Rates and Lifestyle-Driven Moves for Older Adults: A Vector Autoregression Analysis

Orange Arrow Lindberg, Business Economics (2024)


The Price Elasticity of Senior Housing Demand: Is It a Necessity or a Luxury?

Orange Arrow Lindberg, Business Economics (2022)


Long-Term Care Market Trend and Patterns of Caregiving in the U.S.

Orange Arrow Steiner & Stevens, Journal of Aging & Social Policy (2021)


Real Estate and Longevity

Orange Arrow Springer (2025)


NIC–NORC Senior Housing Research Portfolio — health & longevity studies

Orange Arrow NORC at the University of Chicago (2025)


The Forgotten Middle: Middle-Income Seniors & Housing — Health Affairs

Orange Arrow Pearson, Hudson, Grabowski et al. (2019)

20 years of market clarity

Hear directly from senior housing professionals who were part of building NIC MAP and who rely on it today.

The next 20 years: data everyone can use

The next decade is about putting two decades of data into the hands of investors, lenders, developers, researchers, and public agencies who need it, answerable in plain language, wherever they work. The mission is the same as it was in 2006: a market better understood by investors, lenders, developers, and public agencies who finance and study it, one that grows rapidly to meet the needs of the burgeoning aging population.

Here’s to the next 20 years

Whether you want to understand this market or simply learn more, we’d love to talk.

Market figures on this page are drawn from the NIC MAP platform: aggregated market data published in arrears. Platform metrics reflect asking rates and occupancy; the platform does not display in-place transaction rates or any operator’s individual rates. Agency lending figures are approximate and drawn from public agency reporting.

FAQs

How long has NIC MAP been providing senior housing data?

NIC MAP was founded in 2004 by the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care and published its first consistent metro-level rate and occupancy metrics in 2006. As of 2026, NIC MAP has been tracking the senior housing market for 20 years.

Does the U.S. federal government use NIC MAP data?

Yes. The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac have relied on NIC MAP data for nearly two decades. HUD’s Office of Risk Management uses it as a principal source for monitoring its FHA healthcare loan portfolio under a contract running through 2030.

How many markets and communities does NIC MAP cover?

NIC MAP currently covers 214 markets nationwide, tracking more than 35,000 senior housing communities and 1.7 million+ units of inventory.

How much senior housing has been built in the last 20 years?

The U.S. senior housing market now totals more than 1.7 million units nationwide. Across NIC MAP’s tracked markets, developers have delivered more than 630,000 new units since 2006.

How much new senior housing will be needed in the coming years?

As the 85-and-older population accelerates, demand is outpacing new construction. The industry needs an estimated $275 billion in additional senior housing investment by 2030, and more than $1 trillion by the early 2040s, just to keep pace with demand.

Why is demand for senior housing growing so quickly?

The first baby boomers turned 80 in 2025, marking the start of the largest and fastest expansion of the older-adult population in U.S. history. According to U.S. Census Bureau projections, the population aged 80 and older will more than double over the next 25 years, from nearly 15 million today to more than 30 million by 2050.

Who uses NIC MAP data?

NIC MAP is used by investors, lenders, developers, operators, vendors and healthcare partners, and researchers and public agencies.